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Thread: Covid-19 discussion thread

  1. #1841
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    Re: Covid-19 discussion thread

    Further discussion this evening revealed my colleague was exposed a full week ago but wore a mask when near the person with Covid. Unless my colleague is still asymptomatic, I may - just possibly - be okay.

  2. #1842
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    Re: Covid-19 discussion thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Pamplemousse View Post
    This disease is not the way I want to die.
    Isnít it best to just not think about how youíll die? I mean, very few of us are going to die how we want, kind of par for the course really.

    Youíre not going to die from Covid, PM. Having read your postings over the past few months youíre way too cautious to even catch it let alone die from it.

    As I said earlier, I caught it, but I was in a situation that was unavoidable. I knew from early March that one day I would get this virus so part of me now is actually kind of glad to just have it and get it over with.

    If I were you I would try to stop reading into the negatives and look at the positives. Treatments now are far and away better than at the start of this pandemic. We are literally weeks away from the first vaccines being rolled out. The true mortality rate is around 0.5% and thatís in those unfortunate enough to contract the illness. Around 35%, regardless of age or co-morbidities, of people contract this virus and are completely asymptomatic.

    Your anxiety is running away with itself here and you need to stomp on the flames before they burn out of control.

  3. #1843
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    Re: Covid-19 discussion thread

    The mortality rate is 4%, though.

  4. #1844
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    Re: Covid-19 discussion thread

    You can study the statistics for hours but it won't change anything and you'd be better off doing something constructive which you enjoy and which would distract you from endless covid morbid rumination.

    You've probably already had it anyway.

  5. #1845
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    Re: Covid-19 discussion thread

    Quote Originally Posted by pulisa View Post
    You can study the statistics for hours but it won't change anything and you'd be better off doing something constructive which you enjoy and which would distract you from endless covid morbid rumination.

    You've probably already had it anyway.
    If I'd had it I suspect I would not be able to write this to you.

  6. #1846
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    Re: Covid-19 discussion thread

    I think the problem is at the moment the media are really going OTT over the current Covid situation, especially over the Imperial College London thing, where Kings College London (and others) are telling completely different stories.

    The trouble is, when the press go OTT like this it has a double negative effect, one being the mega anxious and gullible within our society being scared witless by it and feeling obliged to stay shut away in their own homes, and the other being the serial Covidiots shrugging it off as total BS, and inadvertently making them crave their acting 'ard and general rebellious antics all the more.

    I did have a butchers at Dr JC's video from Thursday last night about the herd immunity stuff and his belief that the media have been spewing out a lot of misinformation and scaremongering about the possibilities of Covid-19 herd immunity only being short-lived by a few months, as he said something about T-cells from the original SARS CoV-1 epidemic in 2003 (which was way more lethal than Covid-19 but was thankfully curtailed speedily before escalating into a fully-fledged global pandemic) still showing immunity to said virus now, some 17 years later, plus also immunity to the current Covid-19 virus.

    He said lots more, but I found that video quite reassuring, and that's the most optimistic I've heard him sound for a few weeks right now.

    It was also mentioned in the news yesterday that the UK-wide R-rate has dropped again by another notch this week, to 1.1-1.3 (vs 1.2-1.4 last week) which is another silver lining.

  7. #1847
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    Re: Covid-19 discussion thread


  8. #1848
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    Re: Covid-19 discussion thread

    The 'R' rate might be falling, but cases are rapidly rising because so many are infected. Anecdotally I've heard suggestions that R > 3 in some areas of London. Locally the number of cases has gone from 4 to 36 in a week.

  9. #1849
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    Re: Covid-19 discussion thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Pamplemousse View Post
    The 'R' rate might be falling, but cases are rapidly rising because so many are infected. Anecdotally I've heard suggestions that R > 3 in some areas of London. Locally the number of cases has gone from 4 to 36 in a week.
    Which makes me wonder, what's the point of the R-rate then, and why is it falling when like you say, cases are rising rapidly in some areas.

  10. #1850
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    Re: Covid-19 discussion thread

    It's an average, and mathematically they are easy to skew.

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