Originally Posted by
Gary A
Again, this so called “second wave” thus far is an absolute picnic compared to March and April. It’s estimated that in early April there were as many as 100,000 new cases per day that simply were not picked up due to testing being limited to those ill enough to be placed into medical settings.
It took until the end of April before testing was ramped up to anything like 100,000 per day, when you consider this compared to an average of 350,000 per day now, you can see the difference. The positive cases now are STILL lower than April, and that’s with this huge expansion in testing.
The important number that proves growth now is the percentage of positive cases to testing capacity. Anything above 5% per day signifies exponential growth, we are teetering on that brink now so we need to slam the brakes on for a bit just to get those percentages down.
I think looking at positive cases per day is a bit of a waste of time, you need to compare the testing volume capacity for that number to have any context whatsoever.