Originally Posted by
MyNameIsTerry
Well UKIP killed off the BNP and the referendum killed off UKIP. All those Tory & Labour members went back to their homes since they only used UKIP as a vehicle for a referendum. That can again be demonstrated by the EU elections where it was divided down referendum lines to gift UKIP and the Libdems. Once the two top parties stopped trying to force the referendum result out everyone went back to their homes (maybe less so on the Libdem side where they might have stayed).
I think seeing immigration in such a way is incorrect. It get played as white racist Brits but people dont think about how EU migration was largely white and many Asian, African, etc voters might like their countries to stop being made 2nd class. Funnily enough those further to the left even saw EU white prioritsation as racism hence why you have a bizarrely broad church of communist party members joining with UKIP types. Even white former EU immigrants had their doubts as they remember the trouble their own countries had with the negative aspects of immigration from their neighbour's. And what about the Asian community around here complaining about a rise in racism due to an influx of eastern European workers? Or maybe employers keeping wages down to increase their profits?
That's why the referendum split everyone. You absolutely have Labour areas seeing this and how the party started shifting away from them under Blair.
You can be as far to the left as you want and surely question prioritising white Christian countries over others? Or be concerned about people smugglers raking it in?
I think it's going to be Labour next but I dont think they supply the same confidence as the incoming Blair years. The Tories have been in so long that they have descended into corruption and sleaze. Sounds reminiscent of when Blair got in. But I dont think Starmer has the ability of Blair, like him or loathe him, and his party is still in disarray despite his attempts to clean out less desirable types who flourished under Corbyn. He will have a lot more infighting to deal with than the early Blair years leaving the door open for a quicker Tory return.
I hear a lot of blather about Reform but I suspect they will end up like UKIP; quite a few votes but so spread out as to not matter. They may strip Labour & Tory voters a bit but whether it will worry them enough, as it did Cameron, I doubt. A lot of people who will vote Labour will be wanting to see change including with negative aspects of immigration.
The Libdems rarely field candidates around here, they stick their nose up at us perhaps? But maybe they appeal more to certain demographics?
It will be interesting to see what happens to the SNP. The people of Scotland deserve a lot better than them.